How the US Treasury Can Avoid Default Regardless of the Actions of Politicians
Thursday, 03 October 2013 | 11:38 pm
Treasury will want to ensure no default regardless of the actions of the politicians. There are a couple of ways out.
- Published in Articles
No Comments
US Debt Ceiling and Probability of Default. Almost Never.
Wednesday, 02 October 2013 | 2:02 am
Oct 17 is D Day. If the debt ceiling is not raised, there is the possibility of a US default. The consequences are quite catastrophic, to such an extent that it is almost inconceivable that the US treasury will allow it to happen, despite the combined efforts of the Democrats and Republicans. Why is
- Published in Articles
The Regulation of Banks, the Shadow Banking System and implications for Alpha Investment Strategies
Friday, 27 September 2013 | 3:15 am
Since the financial crisis of 2008 it was patently clear that regulators would begin to regulate banks as utilities. Since then there has been a steady and gradual reanimation of the Glass-Steagall act, albeit not in a single legislation; this in a series of fragmented but correlated measures including Basel 3, Solvency 2, Dodd-Frank
- Published in Articles
Tactical and Temporary Retreat. Tapering US equity exposure
Tuesday, 24 September 2013 | 2:17 am
Good investment and trading practice is that you always have a thesis and the thesis implies certain milestones, and profit and loss levels. If the milestones are not met, and the thesis is unchanged, even if profit targets are met or exceeded, one should reassess the trade, preferably cutting it while the reassessment is
- Published in Articles
Bullish Europe Risk Assets
Wednesday, 18 September 2013 | 1:04 am
We began to be bullish US equities 14 Oct 2011. On 13 Jan 2012, we called a buy on Europe across all risk assets on the back of the ECB’s unprecedented 3 year repo facility. This was a bit early and required the investor to sit through quite a lot of volatility. Some would
- Published in Articles