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A look at economics, markets, finance and the irrational human being

FICTION: Symborg. The Progress and Evolution of Artificial Intelligence. Individual Representative Avatar, IRA.

In the not so distant future, Symborg Inc is developing an AI personal assistant. It is branded IRA, Intelligent Representative Avatar. At first Symborg is unsuccessful in achieving a sufficient level of autonomous intelligence in its algorithms and seeks a new direction in research, to co-opt the information content of the general population of the
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Global Trade War. Part II

The Trade War continues. Since 2011, the Obama administration has been actively pursuing a program of reshoring. Obama’s Manufacturing-Centric State of the Union You’ll Never Hear Donald Trump’s agenda only seeks to bolster or exacerbate an existing trend. As global growth slows, every country seeks to become more self-sufficient and insular. Trading nations and those
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10 Seconds Into The Future. Peripheral vs German Yields. ECB.

The spread between Spanish and German bonds has widened from 0.93 to 1.22 in 6 weeks. While the spread between Italian, Spanish, Portuguese and even French bonds and German bunds has widened in the last 6 weeks, Spain’s reaction is the most substantial. A referendum on October 1 for Catalan secession is raising political risk
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Global Trade War. Episode II

The Trade War continues. Since 2011, the Obama administration has been actively pursuing a program of reshoring. http://agmetalminer.com/2015/01/22/obamas-manufacturing-centric-state-of-the-union-youll-never-hear/ Donald Trump’s agenda only seeks to bolster or exacerbate an existing trend. As global growth slows, every country seeks to become more self-sufficient and insular. Trading nations and those with a small or ageing population do not
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Central Banks and The Things They Get Up To

Analgesics are addictive. The US Federal Reserve has cut rates to address every downturn but sows the seeds of subsequent downturns so it can never quite normalize rates before the next crisis occurs. Analgesics are very addictive. Before 2008, the Fed used interest rates to manage the speed of the economy. It has now discovered
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