HEDGED.BIZ

A look at economics, markets, finance and the irrational human being

Inequality and Injustice. Bad Moon Rising

Inequality has decreased globally, yet this aggregate phenomenon hides a more disturbing picture. As countries have become less unequal, the distribution of wealth and income within countries has become more unequal. If the material and commercial motivation for conflict between nations has receded between nations, it has certainly risen within each country.
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Divergence Between US Equities and US Treasuries

The divergence between the US treasury market and US equities can be accounted for. US treasury yields are held down because. Floating rate note issuance is expected to be circa 180 billion USD. This will substitute away some of the fixed coupon issuance. This means less supply of fixed coupons. Tax receipts are up which
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Singapore Economic Growth and Population.

  One of the commonly accepted models of economic growth is one where economic growth is determined by capital accumulation, innovation and growth of the labour force. The growth of the labour force quickly translates into growth of the population and particular age groups which are regarded as particularly productive. This is all fine, if
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Ten Seconds into 2014. More of the same.

The current volatility in global markets is unremarkable. What is remarkable is the lack of volatility in the past two years. The macro conditions envisaged in mid 2012 continue to hold. For details see: Investment Strategy In a Crazy World April 2012 To reiterate: Long term global growth rate has stabilized along a slower growth
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EM Bonds and USD.

Barely are we into the end of January 2014 and the emerging market debt markets are once again showing signs if weakness. Emerging markets are suffering from a slow down in exports relative to imports relative to the US and other developed markets. This is a long term trend stemming from a technology deficit. The
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