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Ten Seconds Into The Future

A look at investments, hedge funds, economics, finance and the irrational economic human being
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Archive for January, 2007

Watch Out!

A quick comment here. The prices of luxury Swiss watches languished in the early to mid 1990s. That was when I started collecting, small and unimportant pieces, mind. Stainless steel sport watches, divers watches, some classic three hand watches. The later part of the 1990s saw a renaissance for the Swiss watch industry. Companies who [...]

Skill and Luck 2

One time I was with a colleague in Japan interviewing managers. My colleague Patrick knew his way around Tokyo, well, somewhat, so we only spent 25% of the time lost instead of the usual 50%. This was early 2006 when Japanese hedge funds were facing a particularly horrible time. The January and February losses on [...]

Skill and Luck 2

One time I was with a colleague in Japan interviewing managers. My colleague Patrick knew his way around Tokyo, well, somewhat, so we only spent 25% of the time lost instead of the usual 50%. This was early 2006 when Japanese hedge funds were facing a particularly horrible time. The January and February losses on [...]

Skill and Luck 1

In the investment business, the need to distinguish between skill and luck is very important. But why?
I am in the investment business. My job is to find and invest with fund managers whom I consider to be good investors. But what makes a good investor? This is a lengthy subject which has been dealt with [...]

Alpha and Betas

A word about alpha and betas in investment returns
The Math
In mathematics, half the problem is giving things names. The investment management industry has borrowed a naïve model, applied it to very complicated problems and then expect to make sense of the results.
What is alpha and what are betas?
The terms alpha and beta come from the [...]

Skill and Luck 1.

In the investment business, the need to distinguish between skill and luck is very important. But why?
I am in the investment business. My job is to find and invest with fund managers whom I consider to be good investors. But what makes a good investor? This is a length subject which has been dealt with [...]

Singapore Real Estate

An ex-colleague of mine sent me an email today. He was trying to interest me in investing in an apartment in Singapore somewhere near the Singapore River. This was good news and bad news.
Calling the direction of a market is usually a perilous endeavor. When I moved to London in 1999 I thought that the [...]

Singapore Real Estate

An ex-colleague of mine sent me an email today. He was trying to interest me in investing in an apartment in Singapore somewhere near the Singapore River. This was good news and bad news.
Calling the direction of a market is usually a perilous endeavor. When I moved to London in 1999 I thought that the [...]

 

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Disclosure

This blog is produced by Bryan Goh, Head of Due Diligence at First Avenue Partners. First Avenue Partners does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of First Avenue Partners, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. First Avenue Partners is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

About Bryan Goh

Greetings. I am responsible for hedge fund research and manager selection at First Avenue Partners LLP an alternative investments advisory firm based in London. Prior to this I managed the hedge fund portfolio of the OAKS Family Office in Singapore. I started my career in 1994 Singapore trading Asia Pacific equities and originating structured products. I later moved to London and managed equity and balanced funds in addition to originating alternative investment products from fund of hedge funds to real estate funds. My professional interests lie in the application of mathematical rigour to investment management and economic analysis. My hobbies include tennis, watch collecting and trail running, particularly along the banks of the Thames.

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