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Ten Seconds Into The Future

A look at investments, hedge funds, economics, finance and the irrational economic human being
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Archive for December, 2008

The Madoff Fraud is bound to have investors running from hedge funds. However, one should realize that Madoff was not structured as a typical hedge fund. The Madoff structure was unique, and allowed ample latitude for fraud.
Investors in Madoff:-Did not buy shares in an offshore entity advised or managed by Madoff.-Did invest in an offshore [...]

Strategies for 2009

Strategies for 2009
Distressed Asian Convertible BondsLong only and unleveredClosed end fund formatAsia has performing assets at distressed pricesDistressed investors, not distressed issuersList of quasi sovereign issuers – which can later be hedged with sovereign CDS when counterparty risk is settledCurrently poor liquidity – market likely to return albeit smaller than beforeFull exposure to credit default [...]

Madoff

Last week Bernard Madoff decided to throw in the towel on his own Ponzi scheme and confess to one of the largest cases of alleged fraud in the hedge fund industry, known to date. The list of direct investors includes astute and reputable investors. The details of the scheme are as yet unknown but the [...]

Some investment strategies for 2009

Closed end funds:Fund structure mitigates investor riskSuitable for arbitrage strategiesSuitable for relative value strategiesSuitable for distressed and private equity strategiesLends itself to efficient and risk controlled deployment of leverageTechnically complex strategies which rely on multiple trade legs
Distressed investing:Current cycle is attractive for distressed investingDistressed assets and distressed pricing in developed marketsDistressed pricing and performing assets [...]

Convertible Bonds

An opportunity exists today for a long only buy and hold strategy. The strategy is vulnerable to further mark to market losses but a strategy of investing in CBs from a credit point of view, as opposed to an equity arbitrage point of view yields interesting opportunities. Things could get cheaper next year, and indeed [...]

A Currency Call

Commodity prices are overly depressed. See post 27 Nov 2008, A Quick Macro Overview.

Buy AUD, sell USD. 

 

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Disclosure

This blog is produced by Bryan Goh, Head of Due Diligence at First Avenue Partners. First Avenue Partners does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of First Avenue Partners, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. First Avenue Partners is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

About Bryan Goh

Greetings. I am responsible for hedge fund research and manager selection at First Avenue Partners LLP an alternative investments advisory firm based in London. Prior to this I managed the hedge fund portfolio of the OAKS Family Office in Singapore. I started my career in 1994 Singapore trading Asia Pacific equities and originating structured products. I later moved to London and managed equity and balanced funds in addition to originating alternative investment products from fund of hedge funds to real estate funds. My professional interests lie in the application of mathematical rigour to investment management and economic analysis. My hobbies include tennis, watch collecting and trail running, particularly along the banks of the Thames.

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