INCLUDE_DATA

Ten Seconds Into The Future

A look at investments, hedge funds, economics, finance and the irrational economic human being
Options:

Prior to the adoption of the EUR, European equity markets were segmented by country. Since the adoption of the EUR, however, European equity markets became segmented by sector, as the funding costs between countries converged. With the recent rise of country risk and the divergence of funding costs, Europe is trading by country segmentation again. [...]

Ten Seconds Into The Future 2010

 
In a simple world, we eat what we kill today, we consumer what we produce today. With trade in its simplest form, barter, we are able to specialize and be more efficient, focusing our talents and gifts on what we have an advantage in. The invention of money, whether gold or fiat currency, allowed us [...]

European Madness

20% of Nestles business is Europe, 30% in the US, the rest are in emerging markets. 34% of Givaudan’s business in in Europe, 26% is in the US, the rest are in emerging markets. 46% of Swatch’s business in Asia. 30% of LVMH’s business is in emerging markets and Japan. 20% of Carrefour’s business is [...]

Credit Rating Gamma

The role of ratings agencies has been placed under intense scrutiny in the wake of the 2008 credit crisis.
Clearly the ratings agencies have failed in one glaring respect. The creditworthiness of a borrower is tied not only to its solvency but to its ability to generate cash flow to repay, as well as its ability [...]

Hedge Fund Performance April 2010

 

Year to date the top performing strategies have been Event Driven, Distress and Fixed Income Arb. The weakest strategies were Global Macro, CTAs, and Market Neutral. Over a 12 month period Convertible Arbitrage continues its strong run, followed by Distress and Emerging Markets. The weakest strategies year to date were also the weakest over a [...]

 
What are UCITS?
UCITS are funds that comply with the European Directive for retail open-ended investment funds, are incorporated and authorised by the regulator in an EEA member state and can be distributed throughout the European Economic Area.
UCITS is a framework to standardise rules for the authorisation, supervision, structure and activities of collective investment undertakings in [...]

Risk: Toxic Gamma Radiation

Market volatility tends to fade and spike over time. Sharp corrections in financial markets occur more frequently than predicted by statistical theory. How do we explain these phenomena?
It seems to me that as a broad rule, and in particular where risk management is based on Value at Risk, that leverage is a function of underlying [...]

SEC versus Goldman Sachs

The SEC alleges that:

GS failed to disclose that Paulson was involved in the portfolio construction of ABACUS 2007-AC1.
GS misrepresented to ACA that Paulson was 200m long in the equity of ABACUS 2007-AC1.
GS entered into CDS with Paulson that allowed Paulson to buy protection on tranches of ABACUS 2007-AC1s’ capital structure but did not disclose this [...]

Betting on Football

Mr P wishes to place a bet that a certain football club will lose a match. He goes to his local bookie.
 
 

I want to bet that Club X will lose their next match, he says.
Sure, says his bookie, let me see if I can find someone to take that bet.
The bookie makes a few calls [...]

Its a Jungle Out There

Is investing a zero or constant sum game? In derivative markets, FX, commodities, the game is trivially constant sum. In equities there is some debate.
Some claim that ownership of equity is a claim on future cash flows and is therefore not a zero sum game. The value of equity is therefore sensitive to growth rates [...]

 

July 2010
M T W T F S S
« Jun    
 1234
567891011
12131415161718
19202122232425
262728293031  

Disclosure

This blog is produced by Bryan Goh, Head of Due Diligence at First Avenue Partners. First Avenue Partners does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of First Avenue Partners, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. First Avenue Partners is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

About Bryan Goh

Greetings. I am responsible for hedge fund research and manager selection at First Avenue Partners LLP an alternative investments advisory firm based in London. Prior to this I managed the hedge fund portfolio of the OAKS Family Office in Singapore. I started my career in 1994 Singapore trading Asia Pacific equities and originating structured products. I later moved to London and managed equity and balanced funds in addition to originating alternative investment products from fund of hedge funds to real estate funds. My professional interests lie in the application of mathematical rigour to investment management and economic analysis. My hobbies include tennis, watch collecting and trail running, particularly along the banks of the Thames.

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner